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Financement de l’UE (7 784 750 €) : Interactions climat-carbone au cours du siècle actuel Hor20/05/2019 Programme de recherche et d'innovation de l'UE « Horizon »
Vue d’ensemble
Texte
Interactions climat-carbone au cours du siècle actuel
4C addresses the crucial knowledge gap in the climate sensitivity to carbon dioxide emissions, by reducing uncertainty in our quantitative understanding of carbon-climate interactions and feedbacks. This will be achieved through innovative integration of models and observations, providing new constraints on modelled carbon-climate interactions and climate projections, and supporting IPCC assessments and policy objectives. To meet this objective, 4C will (a) provide a step change in our ability to quantify the key processes regulating the coupled carbon-climate system, (b) use observational constraints and improved processes understanding to provide multi-model near-term predictions and long-term projections of the climate in response to anthropogenic emissions, and (c) deliver policy-relevant carbon dioxide emission pathways consistent with the UNFCCC Paris Agreement (PA) goals. To achieve its goals, 4C will develop and use: state-of-the-art Earth System Models (ESMs) including biogeochemical processes not included in previous IPCC reports; novel observations to constrain the contemporary carbon cycle and its natural variability; ESM-based decadal predictions including carbon-climate feedbacks and novel initialisation methods; novel emergent constraints and weighting methods to reduce uncertainty in carbon cycle and climate projections; and novel climate scenarios following adaptive CO2 emission pathways. 4C will support two central elements of the PA. First, the PA global stocktakes, by providing policy-relevant predictions of atmospheric CO2 and climate in response to the national determined contributions. Second, the PA ambitions to keep global warming well below 2°C, by providing robust estimates of the remaining carbon budgets and available pathways. 4C will bring together leading European groups on climate modelling and on carbon cycle research, uniquely securing Europe’s leadership in actionable science needed for the IPCC assessments.
| Barcelona Supercomputing Center Centro Nacional de Supercomputacion | 835 219 € |
| Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique CNRS | 0,00 € |
| Cicero Senter FOR Klimaforskning | 504 250 € |
| Commissariat a L Energie Atomique et aux Energies Alternatives | 472 208 € |
| Deutsches Zentrum FUR Luft - UND Raumfahrt e. V. | 584 684 € |
| Ecole Normale Superieure | 458 250 € |
| Eidgenoessische Technische Hochschule Zuerich | 502 305 € |
| MAX-Planck-Gesellschaft ZUR Forderung DER Wissenschaften e. V. | 1 009 950 € |
| The Chancellor, Masters and Scholars of the University of Oxford | 433 861 € |
| The University of Exeter | 1 216 779 € |
| Universitaet Bern | 753 750 € |
| Universitaet Bremen | 389 625 € |
| University of East Anglia | 623 870 € |
https://cordis.europa.eu/project/id/821003
Cette annonce se réfère à une date antérieure et ne reflète pas nécessairement l’état actuel.
